Monday, September 14, 2009

Navigating Short Sales - Help and Assistance for Sellers Who May Need to Sell via a Short Sale

The information below is intended to provide help and assistance for sellers who may need to sell their home via s short sale as a result of a personal hardship (i.e. illness, job or income loss, etc.) and their home being worth less than the total mortgage balances. This information is valuable for sellers in any area of the country. However, I personally service the following areas in Middle Tennessee:
  • Rutherford County Tennessee: Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN and La Vergne TN (LaVergne TN)
  • Williamson County Tennessee: Brentwood TN and Franklin TN
  • Davidson County Tennessee: Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN



Navigating Short Sales: What to Do When the Sale Price Leaves You Short


If you're thinking of selling your home, and you expect that the total amount you owe on your mortgage will be greater than the selling price of your home, you may be facing a short sale. A short sale is one where the net proceeds from the sale won't cover your total mortgage obligation and closing costs, and you don't have other sources of money to cover the deficiency. A short sale is different from a foreclosure, which is when your lender takes title of your home through a lengthy legal process and then sells it.

1. Consider loan modification first. If you are thinking of selling your home because of financial difficulties and you anticipate a short sale, first contact your lender to see if it has any programs to help you stay in your home. Your lender may agree to a modification such as:
  • Refinancing your loan at a lower interest rate
  • Providing a different payment plan to help you get caught up
  • Providing a forbearance period if your situation is temporary
When a loan modification still isn’t enough to relieve your financial problems, a short sale could be your best option if
  • Your property is worth less than the total mortgage you owe on it.
  • You have a financial hardship, such as a job loss or major medical bills.
  • You have contacted your lender and it is willing to entertain a short sale.
2. Hire a qualified team. The first step to a short sale is to hire a qualified real estate professional* and a real estate attorney who specialize in short sales. Interview at least three candidates for each and look for prior short-sale experience. Short sales have proliferated only in the last few years, so it may be hard to find practitioners who have closed a lot of short sales. You want to work with those who demonstrate a thorough working knowledge of the short-sale process and who won't try to take advantage of your situation or pressure you to do something that isn't in your best interest.
A qualified real estate professional can:
  • Provide you with a comparative market analysis (CMA) or broker price opinion (BPO).
  • Help you set an appropriate listing price for your home, market the home, and get it sold.
  • Put special language in the MLS that indicates your home is a short sale and that lender approval is needed (all MLSs permit, and some now require, that the short-sale status be disclosed to potential buyers).
  • Ease the process of working with your lender or lenders.
  • Negotiate the contract with the buyers.
  • Help you put together the short-sale package to send to your lender (or lenders, if you have more than one mortgage) for approval. You can’t sell your home without your lender and any other lien holders agreeing to the sale and releasing the lien so that the buyers can get clear title.
3. Begin gathering documentation before any offers come in. Your lender will give you a list of documents it requires to consider a short sale. The short-sale “package” that accompanies any offer typically must include
  • A hardship letter detailing your financial situation and why you need the short sale
  • A copy of the purchase contract and listing agreement
  • Proof of your income and assets
  • Copies of your federal income tax returns for the past two years
4. Prepare buyers for a lengthy waiting period. Even if you're well organized and have all the documents in place, be prepared for a long process. Waiting for your lender’s review of the short-sale package can take several weeks to months. Some experts say:
  • If you have only one mortgage, the review can take about two months.
  • With a first and second mortgage with the same lender, the review can take about three months.
  • With two or more mortgages with different lenders, it can take four months or longer.
When the bank does respond, it can approve the short sale, make a counteroffer, or deny the short sale. The last two actions can lengthen the process or put you back at square one. (Your real estate attorney and real estate professional, with your authorization, can work your lender’s loss mitigation department on your behalf to prepare the proper documentation and speed the process along.)
5. Don't expect a short sale to solve your financial problems. Even if your lender does approve the short sale, it may not be the end of all your financial woes. Here are some things to keep in mind:
  • You may be asked by your lender to sign a promissory note agreeing to pay back the amount of your loan not paid off by the short sale. If your financial hardship is permanent and you can’t pay back the balance, talk with your real estate attorney about your options.
  • Any amount of your mortgage that is forgiven by your lender is typically considered income, and you may have to pay taxes on that amount. Under a temporary measure passed in 2007, the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act and Debt Cancellation Act, homeowners can exclude debt forgiveness on their federal tax returns from income for loans discharged in calendar years 2007 through 2012. Be sure to consult your real estate attorney and your accountant to see whether you qualify.
  • Having a portion of your debt forgiven may have an adverse effect on your credit score. However, a short sale will impact your credit score less than foreclosure and bankruptcy.
Note: This article provides general information only. Information is not provided as advice for a specific matter. Laws vary from state to state. For advice on a specific matter, consult your attorney or CPA. 
Reprinted from REALTOR® magazine (REALTOR.org/realtormag) with permission of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.
Copyright 2008. All rights reserved.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Residential Home Sales Market Statistics: A Comparison of Normal Sales versus Short Sales and Foreclosures in August 2009

Middle Tennessee Residential Property Foreclosure Activity Report
Residential Real Estate Market Sales Activity - Foreclosures, Pre-foreclosures and Short Sales Compared to Regular Listings
Counties & Cities/Towns Covered:
Rutherford County Tennessee: Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN and La Vergne TN (LaVergne TN)
Williamson County Tennessee: Brentwood TN and Franklin TN
Month & Year
August 2009
Start Date
8/1/2009
End Date
8/31/2009
City/Town
Active Listings - Total
Active Listings - % Foreclosures & Short Sales
Pending Sales - % Foreclosures & Short Sales
Months of Residential Inventory Based on Pending Sales Rate
Murfreesboro
1,322
8.25%
13.22%
5.46
Smyrna
389
13.11%
18.33%
6.48
La Vergne
291
20.27%
47.54%
4.77
Brentwood
645
3.41%
5.56%
11.94
Franklin
1,127
2.75%
3.03%
11.38
Totals & Averages
3,774
7.21%
15.12%
7.31
Notes:
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of Pending Sales that are distress sales (Foreclosures and Short Sales) is greater than their representation as a percentage of Active Listings.  This means that these distressed listings are Pending (i.e. selling) at a faster rate then regular listings.

Friday, September 11, 2009

US treasury Sees Millions More Foreclosures

According to this Reuters article, U.S. Treasury sees millions more foreclosures, even with the ever increasing efforts of the Federal Government via the Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP, foreclosures will increase.  In fact according to Michael Barr, assistant Treasury secretary for financial institutions, "even if HAMP is a total success, we should still expect millions of foreclosures".

So we have an insiders view that foreclosures will continue to increase.  We also have the readily available news that unemployment keeps increasing.  Can somebody please explain to me how the real estate market is improving in spite of this these things?  To me, an improving real estate market defies logic and reason.  I see no evidence that the real estate market will improve anytime soon.

Be Wary of So Called "Good News"

According to this Reuters article, Pace of U.S. existing home sales fastest in 2 years, sales of previously owned homes increased by 7.2% in July 2009, to the fastest pace in nearly 2 years. That all sounds great, but later in the article it states "The inventory of existing homes for sale in July rose 7.3 percent to 4.09 million units from the previous month, NAR said. At July's sales pace, that represented a 9.4 months' supply, the same as in June."

Here is why that statement is foolish.  Sales are a subset of Inventory (you cannot have more sales than there are homes for sale).  If Inventory increases at a higher rate than sales and Inventory is a larger number to begin with then it is simple math to say that the overall number of homes for sale (i.e. Inventory) actually INCREASED.  The article spins this by using July's home sales number and then comparing that to the new Inventory level to conclude that total Inventory remained the same as June at 9.4 months supply.  Now ask yourself, is July a peak selling month?  If so, does it make sense to divide the new Inventory figure by a peak sales figure and state that Inventory has not increased?  Of course it doesn't.  Therefore, mark my words, the actual supply of homes for sale (i.e. Inventory) has indeed increased which is bad news for the real estate market.

My Real Estate Market Thoughts of the Day

This post may be a bit of a ramble so I apologize for this in advance. I just had to get some things off my chest.


The last time the real estate market melted down (think late 80's/early 90's) it took 7 years for homes to regain their losses. This meltdown is far worse because it is not just due to real estate over development/over building. It was caused by debt. Plain and simple. That is why the folks in Washington cannot fix this problem - you cannot fix a problem caused by debt with more debt. It defies logic and reason. The facts are that even at their current reduced levels, home prices are still out of line with incomes when compared to historical trends. Therefore, contrary to NAR homes are not actually affordable (Side note: I really cannot stand the NAR Home Affordability Index. Since when did Realtors become used car salespeople hawking homes by pushing the monthly payment instead of the price of the home?).

The reason loan modifications will not work is that they do not address the core problem: mortgage balances are too high relative to the market value of the homes. Many homeowners are actually now underwater (i.e. mortgage balances exceed the value of their home). According to a recent Deutsche Bank report, by 2011 about 48% of all US mortgages will be underwater. Since being underwater is now the #1 statistical driver of defaults (not credit scores) you can bet on high foreclosure rates for years to come.

Since the entire economy was built on consumer spending, and that consumer spending was fueled by debt, and that debt is no longer available you can be sure that when things do actually turn around unemployment will still remain relatively high with a likely range of 6-8% as opposed to the 4-5% range we enjoyed a few years ago. Based on the persistent debt problem and the long term unemployment problem I just do not see how the real estate market will recover anytime soon.

This whole thing is sadly comical. You have nonsense from NAR and the mainstream media about how the real estate market is turning a corner and recovering yet foreclosures and unemployment keep increasing. The US real estate market has never recovered under such circumstances and this time will not be the exception. Almost every day I fell like screaming "STOP THE NONSENSE." If our policy makers would just let housing prices decline to their normal (historical) sustainable levels and get rid of the FHA loans, other low/no down loans, ARM loans and other artificial financing not only would this type of problem never happen again, but the social engineers in Washington would not have to worry about "affordable housing" since housing would in fact ALREADY BE AFFORDABLE. Sometimes the answer is just plain old common sense. I predict that values will continue to fall rapidly through 2011 (when the large wave of Option ARM foreclosures ends) and then continue to decline gradually until the foreclosure rate reduces to normal levels and the unemployment rate reduces back down to a more realistic 6-8% mentioned above. At that point real estate values will recover at the normal 4-7% per year.