Monday, February 8, 2010

7.2 Million Delinquent Mortgages As Of December 2009

7.2 Million Delinquent Mortgages
7.2 Million Mortgage Loans In Default With An Estimated 1.0 Million REO's


According to this LPS Mortgage Monitor (a mortgage industry performance report provided by LPS Applied Analytics), LPS Mortgage Monitor: January 2010 Mortgage Performance Observations: Data as of December 31, 2009 Month-end and the Executive Summary, in December 2009 mortgage loan delinquencies and defaults increased significantly and foreclosures (REO's or bank owned properties) reached the one million mark.  The Executive Summary noted the following:

  • Delinquency rates have surpassed the 10% level; factoring in foreclosures, the total non-current rate sits at 13.3%.
  • Industry extrapolations indicate that over 7.2 million loans are currently behind on payments with an estimated nearly 1 million properties in REO status.
  • Average number of days delinquent for loans in foreclosure has increased 63 percent from January 2008 to December 2009, rising from 249 to 406 days delinquent.
  • Prime loans have experienced a worse pace of deterioration on a relative basis than subprime, FHA and all loans as a whole. Within prime loans, those with current unpaid principal balances between $417,000 and $600,000 have performed the worst.
  • The percent of “new” serious delinquencies (from the population of loans that were current as of year-end 2008) sits at 4.64%, higher than any other year analyzed for the same period. Extrapolated counts result in approximately 2.3 million “new” 60-day delinquent loans from December 2008 to year-end 2009.
  • Roll rates show the largest percentage increase in loans improving since the same period in 2008.
  • 2009 marks the only time during the last five years that the six-month deterioration ratio has dropped from September to December.
  • Foreclosure starts increased slightly in December – still the second lowest month in 2009 based on volume. Foreclosure sales were stable month over month and remain at relatively low levels.
  • 2009 vintage loans are performing better than loans from any of the prior five years and have been steadily improving as more origination months are added to the loan pool. However, more restrictive underwriting is driving this behavior rather than actual improved consumer behavior. Liquidity is still not available where it is needed most.
My opinion of the above information is as follows:

  • Most of the information above shows that mortgage loan delinquencies, and therefore, foreclosures, are getting much worse.  For example, the total percentage of delinquencies at 13.3%, the average number of days per delinquent loan, the continued deterioration of prime loans and the new mortgage loans serious delinquent rate of 4.64% are reasons to believe that things are getting much worse.
  • The information which shows a positive trend is, for the most part, artificially and temporarily skewed.  For example, the improved roll rates, the 6 month deterioration ratio showing improvement and the 2009 vintage loans performing better are all skewed by the fact that most of these new loans are made to buyers/borrowers who perceive that their home or real estate purchase was a "good deal".  Since most of these buyers/borrowers used FHA/VA/USDA Rural Housing loan programs (see my blog post Our Phony Real Estate Market) they have little to no initial equity.  Due to the continued housing market decline, huge numbers of these buyers/borrowers will soon be in negative equity positions, which will result in increasing mortgage loan default rates among these buyers/borrowers in the near future.  In addition to that the relatively low foreclosure starts in December 2009 were artificially held down by government mandated loan modification and foreclosure moratoria, which will go end soon with the result of foreclosures increasing again.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Monday, January 25, 2010

Homes Sales Plunge In December 2009

Homes Sales Plunge In December 2009

According to this MSNBC article, Home sales tumble as first-time buyers back off - December's drop is largest in more than 40 years, sales of existing (previously occupied) homes declined by almost 17% in December 2009, which is the largest such drop in over 40 years. 2009 overall saw home sales increase for the first time in 4 years (about 5% over 2008 home sales figures), but this came at a cost - home prices declined by over 12% in 2009, the worst such decline since the Great Depression.  Apparently, the December 2009 sales figures are 21% higher than the sales volume bottom of December 2008, but 25% lower than the December 2005 peak.  The article goes on to state that the housing market could worsen this spring when the the Federal Reserve ends its mortgage securities purchasing program, which has been artificially keeping interest rates low.  In addition to that the home buyer tax credit expires this spring (4/30/2010 to be exact).  According to the National Association of REALTORS (NAR), first-time buyers accounted for about 50% of all home sales in November 2009, but only 43% in December 2009.  Given this information, I think the ending of the home buyer tax credit this spring is a legitimate housing market concern.  The article states "December's sales fell 16.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million, from an unchanged pace of 6.54 million in November, the National Association of Realtors said Monday.  Sales had been expected to fall by about 10 percent, according to economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters."  I guess the proper technical term for this would be "oops".  In addition to the end of the mortgage securities purchasing program and the home buyer tax credit the problems of ever increasing foreclosures and 10%+ unemployment practically guarantee that housing prices will decrease in 2010.

Below are a few other highlights from the article:
  • Anna Piretti, senior economist at BNP Paribas, said "The numbers clearly indicate that the rebound in housing demand observed so far has been largely supported by government programs."  I agree, but I predicted this months ago - see my blog post Our Phony Real Estate Market.
  • Paul Dales, U.S. economist with Capital Economics, said "The report places a large question mark over whether the recovery can be sustained when the extended tax credit expires."  To me there is no "question mark" - there will not be a housing recovery any time soon.
  • Lawrence Yun, chief economist of NAR, "cautioned that the (housing) recovery will depend on whether the economy starts adding jobs in the second half of the year."  Really!?  While I have always known that jobs spur housing, this is the first time I have heard Yun say this.  See my blog post Real Estate Fiction where I quote Yun as saying "With home sales heading up and inventories shrinking, prices are stabilizing. These are the key conditions needed for housing to lead the economy into growth mode. Once that happens, jobs will follow."  This does not match Yun's latest statement that the housing market depends on jobs.  Which one is it Lawrence?
  • "The inventory of unsold homes on the market fell about 7 percent to 3.3 million. That's a 7.2 month supply at the current sales pace, close to a healthy level of about six months."  While this sounds reasonably positive it does not factor in all the "shadow inventory" that is lurking in the near future.  See my blog post Experts: More Rough Times Ahead for U.S. Economy to get a better idea of what I mean.
My conclusion remains the same: housing prices will continue to decline due to poor market conditions and lots of distress sales (short sales and foreclosures). Real estate and housing are simply showing the symptoms of the real problem: debt (more specifically - too much debt).

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance in Middle Tennessee. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Friday, January 22, 2010

Tennessee Unemployment Rises Again - US Unemployment Rises Again - Housing Slumps Again

Tennessee Unemployment Rises Again - US Unemployment Rises Again - Housing Slumps Again

According to this Tennessean article, TN jobless rate rises unexpectedly, the Tennessee unemployment rate spiked to 10.9% in December 2009 from 10.2% in November 2009. During this time the US unemployment rate also increased. According to the article the GM layoffs, sluggish holiday hiring and continued losses in construction and transportation jobs were the main causes of the spike in unemployment. The article quotes Bill Fox, an economist at the University of Tennessee-Knoxville, as saying "Those are big losses in industries that had already experienced big losses. Bad weather and a weaker-than-expected housing market may explain the construction losses." This is all good information, but I fail to see how the spike in unemployment and weakening housing market were "unexpected". The economy is not recovering - there is no such thing as a "jobless recovery". There will be more foreclosures and short sales, which will be factors in pushing housing prices down further.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance in Middle Tennessee. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

First-Time Home Buyers Fading

First-Time Home Buyers Fading

According to this Real Estate Economy Watch article, First-time Buyers Faded in Q4, the percentage share of home buyers that are first-time home buyers has been declining since the peak in October 2009. The cause of the October 2009 peak was the first-time home buyer tax credit, which got a large number of first-time home buyers off the fence. I have been saying that the extension and expansion of the tax credit would not produce the same results since most of the remaining firs-time buyers that did not buy when the original tax credit was announced either cannot buy now or won't buy now (at least without an even larger tax credit/incentive). Unfortunately, many of the first-time home buyers who purchased homes due to the tax credit will end up in foreclosure since most had little or no money for a down payment and as a result are already underwater. They thought they were getting a good deal, but were really duped into buying in the face of a declining market. This is just another case of fleeting government market propping which will ultimately fail - and result in more foreclosures and short sales. Be smart and buy only distressed properties (at a substantial discount) to guard against future price declines.

If you are a home buyer or real estate investor in Middle Tennessee who is interested in purchasing a Fannie Mae foreclosure, a Freddie Mac foreclosure, bank foreclosure or REO, a short sale, home, investmenr ptoperty, condo, or other distressed real estate in order to get a great home or investment property at an attractive price without dealing with the difficult REO/foreclosure listing agents and you want aggressive and professional buyer representation, please contact me, or visit my website Search the Middle Tennessee MLS - Find Middle TN Short Sales, Pre-foreclosures, Foreclosures & REO's so that you can find foreclosures, short sales and other distressed real estate and homes in Middle TN. I help home buyers in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN).

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Stop Foreclosure in Nashville TN - Short Sale and Foreclosure Help In The Nashville Tennessee Metro Area

Stop Foreclosure in Nashville TN - Short Sale and Foreclosure Help In The Nashville Tennessee Metro Area


Attention Middle Tennessee Homeowners, Property Owners, Condo Owners, Real Estate Investors, Commercial Real Estate Owners, Home Builders and Real Estate Developers - Get Expert Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Distressed Real Estate, Short Sale, Pre-foreclosure and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert & Real Estate Professional - Get Middle TN Short Sale and Loan Modification Help and Assistance


This Middle Tennessee real estate blog is focused on helping homeowners (single homes, high end homes, luxury homes, executive homes & estate homes), condo owners, property owners, real estate investors, commercial real estate owners, home builders and real estate developers in Middle Tennessee who have defaulted in their mortgage payments, know they cannot pay their mortgages, are in foreclosure, and/or who need expert help and assistance with a real estate short sale (i.e. where the property value is worth less than the mortgage debt). My website is designed to provide assistance to and help, inform and educate financially distressed real estate sellers, short sale sellers and pre-foreclosure sellers and consumers on how to best solve their Middle Tennessee real estate problems in the quickest time possible. The articles and tools throughout this website are FREE, with zero strings attached.


My name is James W. McCormack (people call me Jim McCormack). I am a Middle Tennessee Distressed Real Estate, Short Sale, Pre-foreclosure and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert. I am a 10+ year real estate sales veteran and full-time real estate professional who specializes in helping people and businesses solve their real estate problems. I focus on distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures and investment properties in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, commercial real estate owners, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee. Reasons why you would need to do a real estate short sale include losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.


This website helps you to search for and find houses, homes and real estate in Middle Tennessee including distressed homes and listings, short sale homes and listings, pre-foreclosure homes and listings and foreclosure homes and listings in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County Tennessee, Williamson County Tennessee, Davidson County Tennessee, Robertson County Tennessee, Maury County Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, Eagleville Tennessee, Lascassas Tennessee, Rockvale Tennessee, Christiana Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Nashville Tennessee, Belle Meade Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Gallatin Tennessee, Springfield Tennessee and Mt. Juliet Tennessee).
I am a Middle Tennessee REALTOR and real estate expert who is here to help you out of your financially stressful situation. Please contact Jim to discuss your particular real estate situation or problems. Jim almost always return phone calls and emails within 1 business day.


I provide the following real estate services:

Specialty and Challenging Real Estate (Sales, Consulting & Leasing):
     1. Physically Distressed Properties (i.e. fixer uppers, rehab properties, handyman specials, etc.).
     2. Foreclosures.
     3. Pre-foreclosures (i.e. Notice of Default, etc.).
     4. Short Sales (i.e. where the sale price is not enough to pay off the mortgage(s) and other liens.).
     5. Bank Owned Real Estate (i.e. REO's).
     6. Divorce Sales.
     7. Estate Sales.
     8. Abandoned and Vacant Properties.
     9. Rental Homes and Properties (Leasing and Consulting).
    10. Lease Option/Lease Purchase Homes (Sales, Leasing & Consulting).
    11. Other Difficult Situations.


Commercial and Investment Real Estate (Sales & Leasing):
     1. Small Multifamily Properties (2-4 units).
     2. Apartment Buildings (5+ units).

I am a Tennessee Licensed Real Estate Broker, REALTOR and Real Estate Expert who will help guide you out of your difficult financial and real estate situation. Be wary of so-called "angel investors" who promise to help you by buying your home, etc. Some even promise to rent your home back to you, which is not permitted according to the terms of most lender short sale approval documents and letters. Even if you can rent your home back from the investor/buyer the terms of the lease frequently make it very difficult for you to abide by the lease terms resulting in the investor throwing you out of your home. These investors are not licensed and are not bound by any ethical rules. Their goal is to buy your home (cash or terms) for as little as possible and get the best deal they can without any regard for your situation. They do not care about what happens to you. You can avoid this by contacing me to help solve your Middle Tennessee real estate problems. See these links below for some things to watch out for with these so called "angel investors":
Quick Links



Find Middle TN Real Estate, Houses, Homes, Townhomes, Condos, Building Lots, Farms & Land
Find Short Sales, Pre-foreclosures, Foreclosures, REO's, Bank Owned Properties, Fixer Uppers & Other Distressed Real Estate








You can find great local real estate information about homes, condos, investment properties, short sales and foreclosures in Middle TN (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). Jim helps homeowners, condo owners, property owners and commercial real estate owners who are in foreclosure or who owe more than their homes, condos, investment properties or commercial properties are worth. Jim provides the latest news on foreclosures, pre-foreclosures, short sales, loan modifications, the overall real estate market and more. Jim McCormack is a proud member of the ActiveRain Real Estate Network, a free online community to help real estate professionals grow their business.