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Thursday, December 2, 2010
This article, The Abysmal State Of Mortgage Finance As Shown By One House, Two Foreclosures, absolutely hits the nail on the head and shows that bankers regularly hit their thumbs with hammers. This "lending into sink hole" needs to stop. "Saving" the housing market cannot be defined as artificially propping up housing prices with taxpayers paying up the huge losses on the long way down to the bottom that result from this foolish and reckless policy. I personally know of a very similar situation involving a home in Murfreesboro Tennessee, but this one is even worse. A builder defaulted on a construction loan secured by a vacant lot and the house next door that was 99% complete. On 10/20/2008, the bank (Pinnacle Financial Partners – The "Official bank of the Tennessee Titans"), foreclosed and took the properties back as REO's. On 5/29/2009 the bank resold the house and lot to a home buyer through an online auction company for $264,400 (including the 5% auction premium). At that time I was personally interested in buying the house (not the lot - it has little value in this market), but was only willing to pay in the $190K's including the auction premium. Obviously, I was grossly outbid by this foolish buyer (I wonder if they were a tax credit buyer?). Here is the really scary part. The bank, Pinnacle Financial Partners, loaned that buyer $236,696 (i.e. about 90% of the purchase price) on a "non-qualifying" basis. This means the buyer essentially got a no-doc/stated income type of mortgage loan from Pinnacle Bank. Of course the reason the bank did this was to artificially inflate the price that they would get for the property when they were selling it as an REO. Less than 6 months after this bogus sale closed I received a postcard in the mail from a REALTOR marketing this same house for sale. Apparently, the buyers of this home needed to sell rather quickly after buying it! Their attempt to sell the property failed (they were asking in the low $300K's), and, as a result, on 10/12/2010 the bank foreclosed on the house and lot for the 2nd time in less than 2 years. The really, really scary part is that I personally know that this very same bank did the same exact thing with other properties with the same bad, but, predictable, results. This bank was practicing what I call "incestuous lending", which is very similar to what Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA are doing when they offer all types of incentives and special financing to entice buyers to buy their foreclosures so the banks can essentially take a dead asset off one side of their books and replace it with a questionable asset on the other side of their books. It's like saying someone who never repaid the personal loan they owe you and you just say OK and let their brother or sister guarantee the payments even though they are just as reliable. Meanwhile, you still haven't received any actual money, just a promissory note with another name on it. A person who works for a major bank recently told me that once a home is foreclosed on there is an 80% chance that it will be foreclosed on again within 10 years. Now I know why. The banks keep inflating the prices of their REO's by obtaining buyers who are lured into the purchase by the banks' artificially easy to get and artificially cheap financing. In other words, the banks are getting generally unqualified and ignorant buyers who are overpaying for the foreclosed properties. Therefore, it should be no surprise that these same home buyers end up in financial trouble in such a short period of time at such an alarming rate. In addition to the buyers who bought homes at the top of the market, those who bought homes with no-doc/stated/exotic mortgages, those who bought homes with subprime loans, prime borrowers who have lost their jobs or suffered a reduction in income, we now have to add the foolish foreclosure buyers who overpaid in a declining market to the list of homeowners who have a high risk of defaulting on their mortgage loans. This mess just keeps getting worse. Home prices are going to keep declining for quite a while (see: Home Prices Decline Again and The Truth About Home Prices). As a result of all of this, I know there is going to be a lot of short sales and foreclosures over the next several years.
Nashville and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Financial Distress. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.
Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Home Prices Decline Again
As I have been predicting for quite some time (see: The Truth About Home Prices), housing prices are declining again in the aftermath of the second ill advised "first time home buyer tax credit" (should be renamed "Fool's Gold Part 2").
According to this article, FHFA Monthly Home Prices: September 2010, home prices have now fallen below their levels in September 2009. (The article states: "The FHFA monthly HPI are formulated from home purchase information collected from mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.").
As you can see by the graph above, the home price trend clearly shows that home prices are declining again. As a result of this further (and expected) housing price decline, there are going to be an elevated level of foreclosures, short sales and other distress sales over the next several years. Due to these issues, the overall poor economy, and the fact that home prices are still historically high, housing will not begin recovering for at least 4-5 years and even then price gains will be very modest.
Nashville and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Financial Distress. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Home Prices Headed Down
The situation is really sad and infuriating at the same time. I think we can all agree that artificially cheap and easy money (i.e. excessive lending) is what got us into this housing bubble (really a debt/lending bubble) mess to begin with. Therefore, it is incredibly foolish and irresponsible that the federal government (and some states such as CA) is trying to "solve" the problem by artificially propping up demand for homes by pushing the banks to lend more, bailing out banks, guaranteeing the trillions (yes TRILLIONS) in losses that will ultimately come from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, artificially keeping interest rates low by buying over $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities in order to encourage more borrowing, expanding FHA lending dramatically, giving out $8,000 tax credits to first time home buyers, etc. Homes are still overpriced when compared to incomes (see my personal research below). Keeping homes overpriced by artificially allowing more home buyers into the market and encouraging other home buyers to purchase more expensive homes (because the "money is so cheap") is completely irresponsible. Why should Americans be happy about being forced to overpay for homes (due to having to compete with home buyers who should not be home buyers, but only are do to the "government housing stimulus" described above) - that only leaves less money available for saving, investment, non-debt spending, etc. In short, it makes it harder and harder to get by on their current incomes. The American Dream is being killed by excessively high home prices and our all knowing and caring government is causing this!. Let me say this clearly: YOU CANNOT SOLVE A PROBLEM CAUSED BY TOO MUCH DEBT BY TAKING ON MORE DEBT. It is impossible. Instead, the government should just let home prices fall to where they should naturally be given the current economic situation (i.e. a lot lower than they are right now). The housing market is headed down as soon as the foolish government market propping ends.
There is 0% chance that any market is actually "stabilizing" since that implies an actual free market. "Temporarily Artificially Propped" is a more accurate description of our current real estate market. See my blog post from November 2009 (I correctly detailed the current state of the real estate market and accurately predicted what would happen after the tax credit and other government market propping expired): Our Phony Real Estate Market. Also, see my personal research below.
There is no way that home prices have reached a bottom. I analyzed the data in the NAR Home Affordability Index (HAI) from 1/1989 through 6/2010 and found that the Median of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income is 2.92 and the Average of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income is 3.07. Over this same period, the lowest reading occurred in 12/1990 at 2.654. Therefore, it is safe to say that from an historical perspective the typical price of a median home should be about 3 times the median family income. The 6/2010 reading was over 3 at 3.045 (i.e. over 4% higher than the historical median and about the same as the historical average). The problem is that we are not in a “typical” economic environment – we have record foreclosures that seem to persist and 10% unemployment. Given that the lowest reading of 2.654 occurred in 12/1990 and that our current economic conditions are far worse than 12/1990, it is logical to conclude that the Median Home Price to Family Income Ratio should be below 2.654. If the ratio declines to 2.5, home prices will decline by nearly 22%. If the ratio declines to 2.5 and family incomes decline by 5%, home prices will decline by over 28%. Given that personal incomes are declining and that a 2.5 ratio is probably a bit optimistic, I believe it is very feasible that home prices will decline by an additional 30%. As a result, there will be more short sales and foreclosures. See the graph below for a representation of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income Over Time and how it compares to the Average and Median of that same Ratio.
Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.
Friday, April 30, 2010
According to this Diana Olick article on CNBC.com, Mortgage Defaults May Be Driving Consumer Spending, recent studies show that "Americans are now far more likely to pay their other bills first before their mortgage (which is a big turnaround historically speaking)." As a result, the thought is that many of the nearly 7.4 million homeowners who are not paying their mortgage payments (defined as the total number of delinquent first mortgages plus REO properties - see the most recent mortgage performance data current as of March 31, 2010 in the LPS Mortgage Monitor: April 2010 Mortgage Performance Observations published by Lender Processing Services, a provider of mortgage processing services, settlement services, mortgage performance analytics and default solutions) may actually be spending money that would normally go toward making the monthly mortgage payment on consumer goods and services (i.e. food, clothing, car payments, medical expenses, entertainment, travel, etc.). The article mentions that Paul Jackson, publisher of Housingwire.com, wrote an article, For Consumers, Time to Shop (Until the Mortgage Drops), in which "he describes a case study of someone who applied for the government's Home Affordable Modification Program. The person had an $1,880.00 monthly mortgage payment on which they'd defaulted, but said person's monthly bank statement showed payments to a tanning salon, nail spa, liquor stores, DirecTV bill with premium charges, and $1,700.00 in retail purchases from The Gap, Old Navy, Home Depot, Sears, etc." Jackson goes on to say "Even if you assume that just half of the current 7.4 million currently delinquent mortgages fit this sort of ’spending profile’ (that is, they are spending their mortgage) and you assume a $1,000 median monthly mortgage payment for most U.S. homeowners — you get a $3.7 billion boost per month to consumer spending. It’s certainly enough spending to matter in the overall scheme of things." I find this truly scary, but I do believe that this is happening. In fact, I think this behavioral trend will become even more common as housing prices continue decline leaving more and more homeowners (I use that term loosely since until you have more equity than you have debt on your home the bank "owns" more of the home than you do) in position where they owe more than their homes are worth (i.e. underwater or negative equity). Frankly, I think this behavior is the result of a rather logical decision making process. If you were an underwater homeowner who owned a home and you had a choice between paying your mortgage (when you know you will never see that money again) and buying goods and services that you can enjoy now, what would you do? This is all a matter of economics and mathematics and in that vane paying for a declining asset (i.e. the home) makes no sense. As a result of this you can bet that foreclosures and short sales will continue to occur at high levels for the next several years.
Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.
Monday, April 5, 2010
Housing Headed For Trouble
As a short sale specialist, my listings usually sell very quickly. However, since March 2010 began my short sale listings are selling more slowly than they did previously. I attribute this to the first-time home buyer tax credit since those buyers were the primary buyer pool in my market Middle Tennessee. I think this is particularly true for most markets in the US where the tax credit had a substantial short term impact (particularly in lower priced markets where the $8,000 tax credit is a fairly substantial percentage of the sale prices). Now that the first time home buyer tax credit is nearing expiration, those tax credit buyers are, apparently, not willing to buy new short sale listings (they will still buy pre-approved short sales that can be closed in 30-45 days with a reasonable degree of certainty) since there is no guarantee that they will be able to close by 6/30/2010 (the expiration of the tax credit). Therefore, the only way to sell these short sale listings is to lower the price. These increasingly lower priced short sale and pre-foreclosure listings will put downward pressure on new construction and other retail priced listings.
The next phase of the great real estate meltdown is beginning to unfold as I predicted it would over 1 year ago (see my blog post from 11/2009 for a detailed breakdown of the drivers of the real estate market: Our Phony Real Estate Market). Unfortunately, the tax credit was nothing more than a temporary band-aid solution (really a gimmick) that will ultimately result in the tax credit buyers ending up in foreclosure at a very high rate since they are underwater the moment of closing (most put little to nothing down and have very little cash reserves) and will be even more so as the market declines. The buyers who purchased short sales and foreclosures as substantial discounts will likely be fine. That is why I only sell those types of properties. Unfortunately, home buyers who purchased new construction or other retail priced listings will be in trouble in the next few years. The main problem is that the entire US economy was built on debt. Consumer spending, which was 70%+/- of the entire US economy, was built largely on consumer debt (think credit cards, home equity loans, HELOC's, personal loans, etc.). Without this debt there can be little to no growth in consumer spending, and by extension, little to no growth in the US economy, until personal incomes increase at least enough to pay down current debt and still leave enough to spend more. Given that unemployment still hovers near 10% (the real number is about 16%) this will not happen anytime soon. It is just a matter of simple accounting. In addition to the end of the tax credit buyer ear there is the Option ARM foreclosure wave coming. As a result, there will lots of foreclosures and short sales over the next 5-10 years.
Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Real Estate Investors, Home Builders and Developers in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee real estate investor, home builder, condo developer or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Friday, April 2, 2010
Housing Prices Declining Again
According to this Real Estate Economy Watch article, Fear Seen Driving Prices Lower than Last 20 Years, the housing markets in most US cities "will see prices fall below the lowest levels of the last 20 years" according to the House Price Forecast from University Financial Associates (UFA) in Ann Arbor Michigan.
The article quotes Dennis Capozza, the Dykema Professor of Business Administration in the Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan, and a founding principal of UFA, as saying the "Detroit metro was the canary in the coal mine this cycle, with falling house prices arriving earlier than in other metros. Other metros that have already or will soon converge to pre-bubble real prices include Las Vegas, Phoenix, the inland California metros and many south Florida metros."
Overall, the UFA's forecast "would take the national median price of a home in most markets below $101,000, the national median in 1990, according to the Census Bureau." This prediction comes after other recent data which shows that housing prices are headed downward again. This will result in more short sales and foreclosures as underwater homeowners and real estate investors walk away from their upside down (i.e. negative equity) homes and properties.
Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Real Estate Investors, Home Builders and Developers in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee real estate investor, home builder, condo developer or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Thursday, February 11, 2010
FDIC OneWest Deal Harming Homeowners
Please view this ThinkBigWorkSmall video:
The Indymac Slap in our Face. 02.08.10
The video emphasizes what I have been saying (see FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners, IndyMac-OneWest Harming Homeowners and FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case 1) about the IndyMac/OneWest Shared Loss Agreement with the FDIC. In short, that agreement is seriously hurting financially distressed homeowners and taxpayers by promoting foreclosures. To add insult to injury, as the video states, the FDIC is now going to the US Treasury to obtain more money, some of which will presumably be used to fund more crooked deals like this one. This only further my belief that the only good government is a small government. Our government is far too expensive and too big to monitor and prevent legalized theft like this Shared Loss Agreement. It is particularly infuriating that George Soros, the huge Democratic campaign contributor and main funder of MoveOn.org, is profiting handsomely from this deal via his large stake in OneWest. I thought George Soros, being the big time Democrat and huge supporter of Obama, cared about poor people? Get real. I guess it pays to buy your own president. I will look for one the next time I go grocery shopping. So much for "compassion" and "caring". It is all a lie. What a disgrace!
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
NAR Housing Affordability Index Useless
REALTOR Group's Housing Affordability Index Says Housing Has Never Been Unaffordable
According to this Seeking Alpha article, What's Wrong with the NAR Affordability Index?, the National Association of REALTORS (NAR) Housing Affordability Index (HAI) is utterly useless. The article states "housing never dipped into the level of unaffordable over the entire giant housing boom. This is mind bogglingly astonishing. If the affordability index failed to show housing was unaffordable during 2005-06, when would it ever show that?" In short, according to the NAR Housing Affordability Index (since 1989 when the HAI was created) housing has never been "unaffordable" (see graph below). This is absolutely absurd. How can prices fall so much from 2005 levels and those 2005 levels not be seen as unaffordable? It makes no sense and neither does the NAR HAI - it is absolutely useless.
As the graph indicates, a NAR HAI reading of under 100 means homes are relatively unaffordable. As you can see, the NAR HAI never goes below 100 so it means that NAR wants people to believe that homes have always been affordable. Therefore, when you hear NAR say "homes are affordable and interest rates are low, etc." please dismiss it as fools gold. It is a worthless statement. Unfortunately, the latest wave of buyers that purchased homes, particularly the first time tax credit buyers, fell victim to this nonsense and, as a result, many of them will be the next round of short sales and foreclosures.
If you are a home buyer or real estate investor in Middle Tennessee who is interested in purchasing a Fannie Mae foreclosure, a Freddie Mac foreclosure, bank foreclosure or REO, a short sale, home, investmenr ptoperty, condo, or other distressed real estate in order to get a great home or investment property at an attractive price without dealing with the difficult REO/foreclosure listing agents and you want aggressive and professional buyer representation, please contact me, or visit my website Search the Nashville Tennessee MLS and Middle Tennessee MLS - Find Nashville TN and Middle TN Short Sales, Pre-foreclosures, Foreclosures & REO's so that you can purchase foreclosed homes, short sale homes and other distressed real estate and properties in Nashville TN and Middle TN. I help home buyers in the Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Area (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN).
Monday, February 8, 2010
7.2 Million Delinquent Mortgages As Of December 2009
7.2 Million Mortgage Loans In Default With An Estimated 1.0 Million REO's
According to this LPS Mortgage Monitor (a mortgage industry performance report provided by LPS Applied Analytics), LPS Mortgage Monitor: January 2010 Mortgage Performance Observations: Data as of December 31, 2009 Month-end and the Executive Summary, in December 2009 mortgage loan delinquencies and defaults increased significantly and foreclosures (REO's or bank owned properties) reached the one million mark. The Executive Summary noted the following:
- Delinquency rates have surpassed the 10% level; factoring in foreclosures, the total non-current rate sits at 13.3%.
- Industry extrapolations indicate that over 7.2 million loans are currently behind on payments with an estimated nearly 1 million properties in REO status.
- Average number of days delinquent for loans in foreclosure has increased 63 percent from January 2008 to December 2009, rising from 249 to 406 days delinquent.
- Prime loans have experienced a worse pace of deterioration on a relative basis than subprime, FHA and all loans as a whole. Within prime loans, those with current unpaid principal balances between $417,000 and $600,000 have performed the worst.
- The percent of “new” serious delinquencies (from the population of loans that were current as of year-end 2008) sits at 4.64%, higher than any other year analyzed for the same period. Extrapolated counts result in approximately 2.3 million “new” 60-day delinquent loans from December 2008 to year-end 2009.
- Roll rates show the largest percentage increase in loans improving since the same period in 2008.
- 2009 marks the only time during the last five years that the six-month deterioration ratio has dropped from September to December.
- Foreclosure starts increased slightly in December – still the second lowest month in 2009 based on volume. Foreclosure sales were stable month over month and remain at relatively low levels.
- 2009 vintage loans are performing better than loans from any of the prior five years and have been steadily improving as more origination months are added to the loan pool. However, more restrictive underwriting is driving this behavior rather than actual improved consumer behavior. Liquidity is still not available where it is needed most.
- Most of the information above shows that mortgage loan delinquencies, and therefore, foreclosures, are getting much worse. For example, the total percentage of delinquencies at 13.3%, the average number of days per delinquent loan, the continued deterioration of prime loans and the new mortgage loans serious delinquent rate of 4.64% are reasons to believe that things are getting much worse.
- The information which shows a positive trend is, for the most part, artificially and temporarily skewed. For example, the improved roll rates, the 6 month deterioration ratio showing improvement and the 2009 vintage loans performing better are all skewed by the fact that most of these new loans are made to buyers/borrowers who perceive that their home or real estate purchase was a "good deal". Since most of these buyers/borrowers used FHA/VA/USDA Rural Housing loan programs (see my blog post Our Phony Real Estate Market) they have little to no initial equity. Due to the continued housing market decline, huge numbers of these buyers/borrowers will soon be in negative equity positions, which will result in increasing mortgage loan default rates among these buyers/borrowers in the near future. In addition to that the relatively low foreclosure starts in December 2009 were artificially held down by government mandated loan modification and foreclosure moratoria, which will go end soon with the result of foreclosures increasing again.
Friday, January 22, 2010
First-Time Home Buyers Fading
According to this Real Estate Economy Watch article, First-time Buyers Faded in Q4, the percentage share of home buyers that are first-time home buyers has been declining since the peak in October 2009. The cause of the October 2009 peak was the first-time home buyer tax credit, which got a large number of first-time home buyers off the fence. I have been saying that the extension and expansion of the tax credit would not produce the same results since most of the remaining firs-time buyers that did not buy when the original tax credit was announced either cannot buy now or won't buy now (at least without an even larger tax credit/incentive). Unfortunately, many of the first-time home buyers who purchased homes due to the tax credit will end up in foreclosure since most had little or no money for a down payment and as a result are already underwater. They thought they were getting a good deal, but were really duped into buying in the face of a declining market. This is just another case of fleeting government market propping which will ultimately fail - and result in more foreclosures and short sales. Be smart and buy only distressed properties (at a substantial discount) to guard against future price declines.
If you are a home buyer or real estate investor in Middle Tennessee who is interested in purchasing a Fannie Mae foreclosure, a Freddie Mac foreclosure, bank foreclosure or REO, a short sale, home, investmenr ptoperty, condo, or other distressed real estate in order to get a great home or investment property at an attractive price without dealing with the difficult REO/foreclosure listing agents and you want aggressive and professional buyer representation, please contact me, or visit my website Search the Middle Tennessee MLS - Find Middle TN Short Sales, Pre-foreclosures, Foreclosures & REO's so that you can find foreclosures, short sales and other distressed real estate and homes in Middle TN. I help home buyers in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN).
Sunday, January 17, 2010
Foreclosures Will Increase Again
According to this RealEstateEconomyWatch.com article, ’09 Foreclosure Binge to Produce Hangover in ‘10, despite foreclosures hitting a new record in 2009 (21% more than 2008 and 120% more than 2007), foreclosures will actually increase in 2010 and 2011 as a result of regulatory and lender delays which artificially reduced the number of foreclosures in 2009. the article states "In fact, the delay in processing foreclosures due to loan modification programs, moratoria and a system overwhelmed by the sheer volume of properties was the only reason the number of 2009 foreclosures was not greater." I guess we are going from bad to worse. No surprise here since I have been saying this for some time. Although the real estate market in 2009 was bad, it was artificially propped up and will get even worse in the next few years (see Our Phony Real Estate Market). As a result of this acceleration of the decline there will be more short sales and foreclosures in 2010-2011 and beyond.
Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance in Middle Tennessee. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
FHA Loans More Difficult and Expensive
According to this MSN Money article, Last chance for lowest-cost loans (Coming soon to FHA-backed loans: Higher FICO scores and more cash at closing. The changes are needed to help keep the agency afloat.), Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans are about to get more expensive and more difficult to obtain due to the financial problems that the FHA is experiencing that are a result of record FHA mortgage loan default rates. Simply put, the FHA is paying more out to cover loan losses than it collects in Mortgage Insurance Premiums (MIP) from FHA borrowers and, as a result, the FHA is going bankrupt. As usual, I am ahead of the curve and told you about this in my blog posts: FHA Will Tighten Underwriting and FHA in Deep Trouble: Default Rates Skyrocketing. The debt hot potato game continues with private debt becoming public debt. Rest assured that the end result will be more short sales and foreclosures.
According to the article, the Obama Administration announced that there will be 4 changes to the FHA loan process that are aimed at lowering the FHA default rate. Those changes are as follows:
- Increasing the minimum down payment required to obtain a FHA insured loan.
- Raising the minimum credit score needed to qualify for a FHA insured loan.
- Raising the cost of the FHA Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP) and possibly changing how FHA mortgage insurance premiums are collected.
- Reducing the amount of the buyer's closing costs that the seller will be allowed to pay (i.e. possibly reducing this amount from 6% to 3%).
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Recession 2 Coming Soon?
According to this BusinessWeek article, Krugman Sees 30-40% Chance of U.S. Recession in 2010 (Update1), there is a good chance that rising interest rates (caused largely by the end of the massive $1.25 trillion mortgage securities purchase program and the $175 billion Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac/Ginnie Mae mortgage securities purchasing programs in April 2010) that we could experience another recession in 2010. The article states that Paul Krugman, a Nobel Prize winning economist and economics professor at Princeton University, believes that there is about a 30% to 40% chance of a recession in the 2nd half of 2010 and that the chance of growth slowing down enough such that unemployment increases again is more than 50%. Krugman also said that mortgage rates will go up some and housing sales may decline. The real issue here (not mentioned in the article) is the entire US economy is based on debt, not income, assets and productivity. This debt is what fueled consumer spending. Now that debt is right near the ceiling there is just not much chance that massive government spending and subsidizing of interest rates will have any lasting effect. My opinion is that we will see another recession and this one will be worse than the 1st one since the government will have made things worse with all the borrowing and spending. As a result, housing will decline and there will be more short sales and foreclosures.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Foreclosures Surge
According to this Real Estate Economy Watch article, Fannie Mae’s Delinquencies Rise 163 Percent in 12 Months, Fannie Mae (the Federal National Mortgage Association, or FNMA) in October 2009, mortgage loan delinquencies rose significantly. The percentage of "seriously delinquent mortgage loans" in Fannie Mae's portfolio increased 26 basis points for a new total of 4.98%. In September 2008, when the US Treasury took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or FHLMC) and placed these government-sponsored enterprises (GSE's) into conservatorship, that same "seriously delinquent mortgage loans" figure was just 1.89%. That is an increase of 309 basis points, or 163%. Single family mortgage loans are defined as "seriously delinquent mortgage loans" if they are 90 days or more past due, or in the foreclosure process. Multifamily mortgage loans aredefined as "seriously delinquent" if they are are 60 days or more past due. According to the article "Seriously delinquent loans eat into the company’s capital and forced borrowing from the U.S. Treasury." Freddie Mac’s single family mortgage loan delinquency increased to a new record of 3.54% of its portfolio. According to the article, this was the 30th straight month in which delinquencies have increased. This is probably why the US Treasury has removed the limit on the Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac loan guarantees - they know that the losses will far exceed the previous limit. As I have been saying since early-mid 2006, this is only going to get worse. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae (buys FHA loans) and commercial banks will all be forced to handle more short sales, or risk being deluged by an overwhelming number of foreclosures.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Monday, January 4, 2010
Record Mortgage Lender and Bank Failures in 2009
According to this Real Estate Economy Watch article, Lender Failures Set New Record, a record 225 mortgage related companies failed in 2009. This is a 36%+ increase over the previous record of 165 in 2007 and a 81%+ increase over the 124 mortgage lenders that failed on 2008. In short, things are only going to get worse. The article states "The annual surge was fueled by a spike in bank failures — which increased more than 400 percent. Banks account for most of the country’s residential originations." 2010 will be the first year of many years of massive bank failures. In my opinion, only banks and mortgage lenders that embrace short sales will have a chance of surviving the coming financial storm. There will be simply be too many delinquent homeowners for banks and mortgage companies to foreclose on even most of them and survive. Short sales will become the preferred method of dead asset disposition taking the place of REO sales.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Friday, December 18, 2009
Housing Market Not Rebounding
According to this USA Today article, Can home market bounce back without more help?, high foreclosures, high unemployment and short-term government housing stimulus programs (i.e. expanded FHA, expanded Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the $1.25 trillion mortgage securities buying program, the home buyer tax credit, etc.) will continue to challenge the housing market and may not be enough to turn housing prices around in the near future. While the article quotes experts on both sides of the housing market rebounding/not rebounding issue, it seems to me that those saying that the housing market is rebounding are only quoting housing market sales figures, sales prices, inventory, etc. without considering the forces behind those figures. For example, if the first home buyer tax credits are spurring 30% of all home sales (as stated in the article), then you cannot use the home sales, home prices and inventory figures as proof the housing market is rebounding since the tax credit is responsible for a significant portion of the sales activity. Given that this tax credit goes away on 4/30/2010, it is not a long term demand driver. Also, the government's $1.25 trillion mortgage securities buying program will end in April 2010 so that is another artificial stimulus that will disappear with the result of higher interest rates and lower demand. Therefore, in my opinion, this "housing market rebound" is a mirage and will disappear once these artificial stimulus actions end. See my post Our Phony Real Estate Market for more information.
Below are some interesting quotes from the real estate experts mentioned in the article:
- Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR) - "Right now, we're not in a sustaining recovery. We're on the cusp of a self-sufficient recovery, but we're not there yet." Well, at least Lawrence got some truth into that statement even though he ended it with Realtor spin.
- Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com - "Foreclosures will be high for a long time and property values won't increase. Many (homeowners) are underwater and are at high risk of defaulting. There are a lot of foreclosed properties in the pipeline that will limit the market and depress prices."
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Tax Implications of Short Sales, Foreclosures and Other Debt Forgiveness
Please let me preface this post by saying that I am not qualified to give tax or legal advice. Therefore, please seek the advice of a tax attorney or accountant regarding any legal or tax related issues. Now that we have that out of the way, the purpose of this blog post is to help people determien the federal tax implications and federal tax consequences of short sales, foreclosures and other debt forgiveness. According to IRS article, The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act and Debt Cancellation, "Qualified principal residence indebtedness" is exempt from federal income tax. According to the article, "This is the exception created by the Mortgage Debt Relief Act of 2007 and applies to most homeowners." The article cites IRS news release, IR-2008-17: Mortgage Workouts, Now Tax-Free for Many Homeowners; Claim Relief on Newly-Revised IRS Form, IRS Publication 4681: Canceled Debts, Foreclosures, Repossessions, and Abandonments (for Individuals) and IRS Form 982: Reduction of Tax Attributes Due to Discharge of Indebtedness (and Section 1082 Basis Adjustment) as source documents.
According to IRS Publication 4681: Canceled Debts, Foreclosures, Repossessions, and Abandonments (for Individuals), "You can exclude canceled debt from income if it is qualified principal residence indebtedness. Qualified principal residence indebtedness is any debt incurred in acquiring, constructing, or substantially improving your principal residence and which is secured by your principal residence. Qualified principal residence indebtedness also includes any debt secured by your principal residence resulting from the refinancing of debt incurred to acquire, construct, or substantially improve your principal residence but only to the extent the amount of debt does not exceed the amount of the refinanced debt." In other words, if the debt in question is original acquisition (purchase) debt then you will not owe taxes on the debt forgiven. However, if you refinanced and pulled cash out, the tax implications of that debt forgiveness will depend on what the refinance proceeds were used for and how much was pulled out. For example, if you refinanced and used all the refinance proceeds to renovate the home then you would not owe any tax on the debt forgiven. However, if you pulled cash out then you would owe tax on the debt forgiven above and beyond the original acquisition debt balance. Of course, the situation gets even more complicated if you refinanced several times and pulled cash out each time and used some of that money to make improvements to the home. That is why it is important to contact a tax attorney or accountant to determine the tax consequences of a short sale, foreclosure, or other debt forgiveness. Please be sure to have your tax professional fill out and file IRS Form 982: Reduction of Tax Attributes Due to Discharge of Indebtedness (and Section 1082 Basis Adjustment) with you tax returns.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Finance Expert Blasts Fed
According to this Business Week article, Paulson Protege Pellegrini on Bernanke's Fed: "Sheer Lunacy", Paolo Pellegrini, the Rome-born analyst who helped hedge fund operator John Paulson make billions on the subprime crash of 2007-2008, thinks the Federal Reserve's (the Fed) low interest rate and money printing policies will fail since they just cause another distortion of the market (he actually uses the term "bubble") resulting in more problems. According to the article, Pellegrini believes that the recent signs of economic growth are just the result of the massive government stimulus programs (think the original stimulus bill, the omnibus bill, cash for clunkers, expanded FHA, expanded Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, $1.25 trillion mortgage securities purchasing program, home buyer tax credit, etc.), and, as a result, the economy will decline again after the government stimulus programs end. I agree since you cannot solve a problem created by too much debt by taking on more debt. The result will be more loan defaults, foreclosures and bank failures. Real estate short sales may be the only thing that will help some banks survive.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Increasing Jumbo Loan Defaults
According to this Bloomberg article, Moody’s Reviews $143 Billion of Jumbo-Mortgage Bonds (Update1), Moody's Investor Services is currently reviewing a $143 billion pool of jumbo mortgage (mortgage loans in excess of $417,000 in most places, or $729,750 in more expensive areas) backed bonds with likely credit downgrades due to "the rapidly deteriorating performance of jumbo pools in conjunction with macroeconomic conditions that remain under duress." In other words, due to rapidly increasing jumbo mortgage loan defaults, the securities that are backed by these loans are now worth less than before. According to article, home prices, especially higher end homes will continue to decline with the $1.6 trillion market for jumbo mortgage backed bonds declining as a result. A lot more jumbo mortgage loan losses are coming along with more short sales and foreclosures.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Need More Government Aid
According to this Bloomberg article, Fannie, Freddie Overseer May Seek More Treasury Aid (Update2), the annual dividend payments owed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (Government Sponsored Entities, or GSE's) to the US treasury exceed the total earned by both GSE's, and as a result, the GSE's are actually needing to borrow more bailout money from the US Treasury in order to pay the annual dividend payments they owe the US Treasury. Unfortunately, this sounds all to familiar. You cannot become a profitable company by borrowing more to pay your current debts. It is a recipe for more financial disaster. No doubt that this is all due to the incredibly high number of bad loans and foreclosures. The article states "Treasury and Federal Housing Finance Agency officials are also debating whether to lower the mortgage-finance companies’ dividend payments on their Treasury borrowings, according to these people, who requested not to be identified describing the internal deliberations. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the largest sources of mortgage money in the U.S., have used $111.6 billion of their $400 billion in backup financing in less than a year. The companies say their 10 percent annual dividend payment, which comes to about $5 billion each, costs more than either have earned in most years and adds to their draws on Treasury." According to the article, the US treasury is considering reducing the GSE's annual dividend payments in order to prevent the need for another government bailout. This all seems like a lot of wasted time, energy and money to keep 2 insolvent GSE's from failing.
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