Nashville Home Prices Declining Again

Nashville Home Prices Declining Again
Nashville Tennessee Housing Market Officially "Double Dipping"

According to this article, Midwest Home Prices Plunged in November, the Nashville Tennessee housing market is currently experiencing a double dip. The article lists the following housing markets as declining:

• Charlotte, NC
• Jacksonville, FL
• Las Vegas, NV
• Miami, FL
• Nashville, TN
• Orlando, FL
• Philadelphia, PA
• Portland, OR
• Richmond, VA
• Seattle, WA
• Tampa, FL
• Tucson, AZ
• Virginia Beach, VA

Home prices are definitely declining in the Nashville Tennessee market as well as nationwide. While the Washington DC and New York City markets appear to be exceptions to this widespread decline, it is easy to conclude that these markets are doing better almost solely due to massive government spending and bank bailouts, respectively. In Nashville, I expect home prices to decline another 10% to 20% at a minimum. Home prices in Nashville TN are still not cheap from an historical perspective when compared to household incomes. Therefore, it is clear that no "market bottom" can be called on the basis of "homes being cheap" - it simply is not true regardless of how much housing prices have fallen. If the government would just leave the market alone home prices would fall to actual cheap levels and buyers would come back on their own (i.e. without the need for artificial and temporary government stimulus). The problem is that home prices in Nashville need to decline at least another 10% to 20% before they can be declared "cheap" by any historical measure. See my blog post: US Housing Market Facing “Doom”. Given that interest rates were as low as they are ever going to be, and have already risen significantly, it is highly likely that the argument that low interest rates will help push Nashville home prices higher is invalid. The fact remains that over the next several years there are going to be a lot of short sales, distress sales and forecloure sales, which, along with persistent high unemployment and poor income growth (below inflation, or even negative), will push home Nashville and Middle Tennessee home prices lower until they are truly affordable based on the real underlying economic conditions (i.e. absent the phony government housing market propping). In short, over the next several years there will still be a lot of misery for homeowners in Nashville and Middle Tennessee.

Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Financially Distressed Homeowners and Property Owners. Stop the Bank from Foreclosing with a Quick Cash Offer to Get the Short Sale Process Started. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact Jim to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home).  Jim helps sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can Get Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor. (*Free: In a real estate short sale, the bank or mortgage company usually approves and pays all of Jim's commissions and fees. Therefore, in most cases his short sale help, foreclosure help, foreclosure consulting, and foreclosure prevention and brokerage services are essentially free to distressed homeowners and property owners in Nashville and Middle TN.  Jim does not charge any upfront short sale fees or commissions and he generally doesn't get paid anything unless the short sale closes and even then the bank essentially pays Jim's fees. As a result, there is basically no risk to Nashville Tennessee homeowners and property owners in foreclosure.)

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Murfreesboro TN FHA Short Sale

Jim McCormack, a Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor closed the short sale of a Murfreesboro TN home with an FHA insured mortgage loan.  Jim was able to close the FHA short sale despite there being 3 liens (a HUD Partial Claim in excess of $14K and 2 Capital One Credit Card liens totaling almost $8K) in addition to the FHA insured first mortgage loan by negotiating the credit card liens down to a total of just $2,100 and getting the buyer to pay off those credit card liens for the seller at closing. The financially distressed seller was relieved to be out from under this property that they could no longer afford, was very happy to avoid foreclosure and glad to have 2 credit card liens settled that were actively pursuing collection.

Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Financially Distressed Homeowners and Property Owners. Stop the Bank from Foreclosing with a Quick Cash Offer to Get the Short Sale Process Started. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact Jim to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home).  Jim helps sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can Get Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor. (*Free: In a real estate short sale, the bank or mortgage company usually approves and pays all of Jim's commissions and fees. Therefore, in most cases his short sale help, foreclosure help, foreclosure consulting, and foreclosure prevention and brokerage services are essentially free to distressed homeowners and property owners in Nashville and Middle TN.  Jim does not charge any upfront short sale fees or commissions and he generally doesn't get paid anything unless the short sale closes and even then the bank essentially pays Jim's fees. As a result, there is basically no risk to Nashville Tennessee homeowners and property owners in foreclosure.)

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Murfreesboro TN Condo THDA Short Sale

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Murfreesboro TN Condo THDA Short Sale

Jim McCormack, a Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor closed the short sale of a Villas At Evergreen Farms Condo in Murfreesboro TN.  Jim was able to close the short sale despite the bank servicing the mortgage loan rejecting the initial short sale offer due to not fully understanding the process of a Tennessee Housing Development Agency (THDA) short sale. Jim was able to bring this short sale back to life and get it closed by contacting THDA directly and proving to the folks at THDA that the short sale offer warranted their approval. The financially distressed seller was relieved to be out from under this property that they could no longer afford and was very happy to avoid foreclosure.

Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Financially Distressed Homeowners and Property Owners. Stop the Bank from Foreclosing with a Quick Cash Offer to Get the Short Sale Process Started. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact Jim to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home).  Jim helps sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can Get Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor. (*Free: In a real estate short sale, the bank or mortgage company usually approves and pays all of Jim's commissions and fees. Therefore, in most cases his short sale help, foreclosure help, foreclosure consulting, and foreclosure prevention and brokerage services are essentially free to distressed homeowners and property owners in Nashville and Middle TN.  Jim does not charge any upfront short sale fees or commissions and he generally doesn't get paid anything unless the short sale closes and even then the bank essentially pays Jim's fees. As a result, there is basically no risk to Nashville Tennessee homeowners and property owners in foreclosure.)

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Smyrna TN Short Sale

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Smyrna TN Short Sale

Jim McCormack, a Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor closed the short sale of a single home in Smyrna TN.  Jim was able to close the short sale despite the property having 2 mortgages (1st mortgage owned by Fannie Mae & 2nd mortgage owned by JP Morgan Chase) and the bank servicing the mortgage loan (JP Morgan Chase) being very slow and initially difficult to work with. Jim solved the problem with the servicing bank by contacting Fannie Mae (FNMA) and informing Fannie Mae that the servicing bank was going to cause the short sale to fail. The financially distressed seller was relieved to be out from under this property that they could no longer afford and was very happy to avoid foreclosure.

Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Financially Distressed Homeowners and Property Owners. Stop the Bank from Foreclosing with a Quick Cash Offer to Get the Short Sale Process Started. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact Jim to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home).  Jim helps sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can Get Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor. (*Free: In a real estate short sale, the bank or mortgage company usually approves and pays all of Jim's commissions and fees. Therefore, in most cases his short sale help, foreclosure help, foreclosure consulting, and foreclosure prevention and brokerage services are essentially free to distressed homeowners and property owners in Nashville and Middle TN.  Jim does not charge any upfront short sale fees or commissions and he generally doesn't get paid anything unless the short sale closes and even then the bank essentially pays Jim's fees. As a result, there is basically no risk to Nashville Tennessee homeowners and property owners in foreclosure.)

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Nashville TN Condo Short Sale

Murfreesboro REALTOR Closes Nashville TN Condo Short Sale

Jim McCormack, a Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor closed the short sale of a Lenox Village Condo in Nashville TN.  Jim was able to close the short sale despite there being a Condo Association lien in excess of $2,200 by negotiating that the buyer pay it. The financially distressed seller was relieved to be out from under this property that they could no longer afford and was very happy to avoid foreclosure.

Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Financially Distressed Homeowners and Property Owners. Stop the Bank from Foreclosing with a Quick Cash Offer to Get the Short Sale Process Started. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact Jim to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home).  Jim helps sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can Get Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor. (*Free: In a real estate short sale, the bank or mortgage company usually approves and pays all of Jim's commissions and fees. Therefore, in most cases his short sale help, foreclosure help, foreclosure consulting, and foreclosure prevention and brokerage services are essentially free to distressed homeowners and property owners in Nashville and Middle TN.  Jim does not charge any upfront short sale fees or commissions and he generally doesn't get paid anything unless the short sale closes and even then the bank essentially pays Jim's fees. As a result, there is basically no risk to Nashville Tennessee homeowners and property owners in foreclosure.)

US Housing Market Facing "Doom"

US Housing Market Facing "Doom"
Nouriel Roubini (aka Dr. Doom) Says Housing Market Double Dip Is Here

According to this article, Dr. Doom Predicts Another $1 Trillion in Housing Losses, Nouriel Roubini (aka Dr. Doom) says the following about the US housing market:

• The country’s real estate problems are "underappreciated" and banks could face another $1 trillion in housing-related losses.
• The United States "real estate market, for sure, is double dipping. The apparent increase in prices has been fully reversed, demand is falling, and supply is going to increase."

Here is a more direct translation of what Dr. Doom is really trying to say:

• Foreclosures and other mortgage loan defaults will cost banks (and the US government and taxpayers) a lot more money.
• The governments' ongoing and incredibly expensive effort to artificially prop up home prices has failed.
• These foreclosures and other financially distressed homeowners will result in a large supply of homes for sale.
• This large supply of homes for sale will drive down housing prices, hence the term "double dip".

My opinion is and has been (see my blog posts: The Truth About Home Prices and Home Prices Decline Again) that the US housing market is absolutely double dipping despite unprecedented, artificial and unsustainable government market propping. The cost of this housing market propping effort in terms of wasted tax dollars and inflation will be absolutely staggering and devastating to the US economy. The government needs to immediately get out of the housing market, stop artificially propping up housing prices and let housing prices be determined by actual supply and demand (i.e. let there be a "real" real estate market). While this will cause more short sales and foreclosures in the short term, it will ultimately stabilize the housing market, make homes more affordable and avoid the severe inflationary effects of the US government's current expansionist monetary policy (i.e. artificially low interest rates, expanded FHA lending, the US Treasury's 1.25+ trillion mortgage security purchase program, continued taxpayer funding of the losses incurred by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Reserve's printing of money via QE1 and QE2, etc.). Regardless of what the government does or does not do, there will be a high level of short sales and foreclosures over the next several years.

Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Nashville, Brentwood, Franklin, Nolensville, Spring Hill, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Columbia, Mt. Juliet, Springfield, Gallatin and Middle Tennessee Financially Distressed Homeowners and Property Owners. Stop the Bank from Foreclosing with a Quick Cash Offer to Get the Short Sale Process Started. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee or La Vergne Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact Jim to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home).  Jim helps sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can Get Free* Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor. (*Free: In a real estate short sale, the bank or mortgage company usually approves and pays all of Jim's commissions and fees. Therefore, in most cases his short sale help, foreclosure help, foreclosure consulting, and foreclosure prevention and brokerage services are essentially free to distressed homeowners and property owners in Nashville and Middle TN.  Jim does not charge any upfront short sale fees or commissions and he generally doesn't get paid anything unless the short sale closes and even then the bank essentially pays Jim's fees. As a result, there is basically no risk to Nashville Tennessee homeowners and property owners in foreclosure.)

FHA Insured Mortgage Foreclosure Help

FHA Insured Mortgage Foreclosure Help
How to Stop Foreclosure If You Have an FHA Insured Mortgage Loan
FHA Insured Mortgage Loan Short Sales (HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program)

Missing a mortgage payment (i.e. defaulting on your mortgage loan) creates a lot of personal and financial stress. This stress is even worse if the financially distressed homeowner and borrower receives a foreclosure notice, Notice of Default, or Notice of Trustee's Sale (or Notice of Substitute Trustee's Sale) from the mortgage lender or bank, or an attorney representing the mortgage lender or bank. This stress is absolutely legitimate and understandable since foreclosure severely damages a borrower's credit, and, in many states, will leave the borrower open to the mortgage lender/bank pursuing the borrower for the deficiency balance (essentially, the amount of the mortgage loan owed by the borrower, but not recovered by the mortgage lender/bank upon the sale of the foreclosed property). Declining housing prices have left many homeowners in a situation where they owe more than the market value of their home. The deficiency balance is a serious issue since when mortgage lender forecloses and resells the property the amount they recoup can be substantially less than the amount owed by the borrower. However, there is some good news for homeowners in foreclosure. If the property is the borrower's home (i.e. principal residence / primary residence), the borrower obtained a Federal Housing Administration (FHA) Insured Mortgage Loan (either when they purchased the home, or when they refinanced the mortgage loan), and the borrower wants to sell the home, there is a way to possibly avoid foreclosure altogether and to ensure that they are never pursued for the deficiency balance.  Since the FHA is part of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development's (HUD), financially distressed homeowners can request help under a HUD Loss Mitigation Program known as the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program (aka HUD PFS Program).   Some valuable information about the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program can be viewed here: HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program Facts Sheet and HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program Mortgagee Letter 2008-43.  As these documents suggest, the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program has certain borrower financial and hardship requirements as well as property type, use and market value requirements.  If a financially distressed homeowner is not sure if they qualify for the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program they should seek out the advice of an experienced short sale and pre-foreclosure real estate broker who has been through the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program before.  If the financially distressed homeowner is not sure if their mortgage loan is FHA Insured, they can find out by looking at the Settlement Statement (HUD-1) from when they purchased the property, or refinanced the mortgage loan.  In the first box on the top left hand side of the HUD-1 there is a box titled "B. Type of Loan".  In that box the type of mortgage loan will be checked. If "FHA" is checked then the borrower's loan is FHA Insured, and, therefore, they may be eligible to participate in the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program.  If the financially distressed homeowner does not have a copy of the HUD-1 then they should contact an experienced short sale and pre-foreclosure real estate broker since they should be able to look up this information, or at least help find out if the mortgage loan is FHA insured.  If the mortgage loan is FHA insured then the borrower should apply for the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program.  If the borrower is accepted into the program, they are protected from foreclosure for a period of not less than 4 months and will never have to worry about a deficiency balance.  That alone is worth the time and effort spent on the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program application process.  here again, an experienced short sale and pre-foreclosure real estate broker who has been through the HUD Pre-Foreclosure Sales Program before will be a great help to a financially distressed homeowner since they will be able to assist in the application process.

Nashville and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Financial Distress. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Foolish Banks Foreclose Again

This article, The Abysmal State Of Mortgage Finance As Shown By One House, Two Foreclosures, absolutely hits the nail on the head and shows that bankers regularly hit their thumbs with hammers. This "lending into sink hole" needs to stop. "Saving" the housing market cannot be defined as artificially propping up housing prices with taxpayers paying up the huge losses on the long way down to the bottom that result from this foolish and reckless policy. I personally know of a very similar situation involving a home in Murfreesboro Tennessee, but this one is even worse. A builder defaulted on a construction loan secured by a vacant lot and the house next door that was 99% complete. On 10/20/2008, the bank (Pinnacle Financial Partners – The "Official bank of the Tennessee Titans"), foreclosed and took the properties back as REO's. On 5/29/2009 the bank resold the house and lot to a home buyer through an online auction company for $264,400 (including the 5% auction premium). At that time I was personally interested in buying the house (not the lot - it has little value in this market), but was only willing to pay in the $190K's including the auction premium. Obviously, I was grossly outbid by this foolish buyer (I wonder if they were a tax credit buyer?). Here is the really scary part. The bank, Pinnacle Financial Partners, loaned that buyer $236,696 (i.e. about 90% of the purchase price) on a "non-qualifying" basis. This means the buyer essentially got a no-doc/stated income type of mortgage loan from Pinnacle Bank. Of course the reason the bank did this was to artificially inflate the price that they would get for the property when they were selling it as an REO. Less than 6 months after this bogus sale closed I received a postcard in the mail from a REALTOR marketing this same house for sale. Apparently, the buyers of this home needed to sell rather quickly after buying it! Their attempt to sell the property failed (they were asking in the low $300K's), and, as a result, on 10/12/2010 the bank foreclosed on the house and lot for the 2nd time in less than 2 years. The really, really scary part is that I personally know that this very same bank did the same exact thing with other properties with the same bad, but, predictable, results. This bank was practicing what I call "incestuous lending", which is very similar to what Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA are doing when they offer all types of incentives and special financing to entice buyers to buy their foreclosures so the banks can essentially take a dead asset off one side of their books and replace it with a questionable asset on the other side of their books. It's like saying someone who never repaid the personal loan they owe you and you just say OK and let their brother or sister guarantee the payments even though they are just as reliable. Meanwhile, you still haven't received any actual money, just a promissory note with another name on it. A person who works for a major bank recently told me that once a home is foreclosed on there is an 80% chance that it will be foreclosed on again within 10 years. Now I know why. The banks keep inflating the prices of their REO's by obtaining buyers who are lured into the purchase by the banks' artificially easy to get and artificially cheap financing. In other words, the banks are getting generally unqualified and ignorant buyers who are overpaying for the foreclosed properties. Therefore, it should be no surprise that these same home buyers end up in financial trouble in such a short period of time at such an alarming rate. In addition to the buyers who bought homes at the top of the market, those who bought homes with no-doc/stated/exotic mortgages, those who bought homes with subprime loans, prime borrowers who have lost their jobs or suffered a reduction in income, we now have to add the foolish foreclosure buyers who overpaid in a declining market to the list of homeowners who have a high risk of defaulting on their mortgage loans. This mess just keeps getting worse. Home prices are going to keep declining for quite a while (see: Home Prices Decline Again and The Truth About Home Prices).  As a result of all of this, I know there is going to be a lot of short sales and foreclosures over the next several years.

Nashville and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Financial Distress. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Home Prices Decline Again

Home Prices Decline Again

As I have been predicting for quite some time (see: The Truth About Home Prices), housing prices are declining again in the aftermath of the second ill advised "first time home buyer tax credit" (should be renamed "Fool's Gold Part 2").

According to this article, FHFA Monthly Home Prices: September 2010, home prices have now fallen below their levels in September 2009. (The article states: "The FHFA monthly HPI are formulated from home purchase information collected from mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.").



As you can see by the graph above, the home price trend clearly shows that home prices are declining again. As a result of this further (and expected) housing price decline, there are going to be an elevated level of foreclosures, short sales and other distress sales over the next several years. Due to these issues, the overall poor economy, and the fact that home prices are still historically high, housing will not begin recovering for at least 4-5 years and even then price gains will be very modest.

Nashville and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Financial Distress. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Quantitative Easing Explained for Us Plebians

Quantitative Easing Explained for Us Plebians

The video below, Quantitative Easing Explained, is a simple, but very funny and sadly true video that explains the intended and unintended effects of the Fed's latest round of "Quantitative Easing" (QE2). I just had to share it.

In my opinion, this QE2 will result in soaring prices of basic living necessities (food, utilities, medical care, etc.) without causing the intended goal of igniting the economy and inflating housing prices. Since housing sales are now (unlike in the past) extraordinarily dependent on buyers who borrow practically the entire amount of the purchase price via loan programs such as FHA, VA, USDA, THDA and other such loan programs, housing prices are now extremely dependent on mortgage loan interest rates. If the Fed's QE2 does in fact cause significant inflation (many economists believe this will happen), mortgage loan interest rates (remember the 1970's) will also surge with the result that buyers will not be able to afford the high interest monthly payments. Therefore, it is very possible that QE2 will actually cause housing prices to deflate (i.e. decline) further. I think the possible general inflation without corresponding household income inflation will reduce the amount of money homeowners have available after paying for basic necessities. This plus a further housing price decline will create even more foreclosures, short sales and other distress sales over the next several years. See my previous blog post, The Truth About Home Prices) to get an idea of how housing prices compare to historic housing prices.



Nashville and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Financial Distress. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Bank of America Stops Foreclosures In Every State

Bank of America Stops Foreclosures In Every State

According to this HousingWire article, Bank of America halts foreclosures in all states, "Bank of America will stop foreclosure sales in all 50 states as it extends its review into faulty affidavits." This decision is an expansion of Bank of America's decision on 10/1/2010 to stop foreclosures in 23 states due to paperwork problems. The article states that Ally Financial and JPMorgan Chase halted their foreclosures as well, but have not expanded their suspensions to all 50 states. According to the article, Wells Fargo, Citigroup (CitiMortgage) and PNC Financial have not enacted moratoriums on their foreclosures. For now, financially distressed homeowners and borrowers who have Bank of America loans will be able to temporarily avoid foreclosure. This should allow more time for short sales to close, and, hopefully make Bank of America more motivated to accept a short sale outcome. Eventually, however, the foreclosure moratorium will be lifted and more distressed homeowners will face foreclosure again. Therefore, I highly recommend that these financially distressed homeowners move quickly to start the short sale process.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville and Middle Tennessee. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Who Owns My Mortgage Loan?

Who Owns My Mortgage Loan?
How to Lookup the Actual Owner of Your Mortgage Loan

Most people would be surprised to learn that it is likely that the bank or mortgage company they send their monthly mortgage payment to does not actually own their loan. That bank or mortgage company is very often just servicing the mortgage loan on behalf of the owner (referred to as the "Investor" in the mortgage industry). If the loan was conventional (i.e. 20% down including so-called 80/20 loans with a 1st and 2nd mortgage loan), or subprime, the Investor on the mortgage loan is probably another financial institution, or more likely Fannie Mae (Federal National Mortgage Association) or Freddie Mac (Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation). It is important to know who owns your mortgage loan since it impacts your loan modification, foreclosure prevention and short sale options. For example, currently Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do not pursue deficiency balances (the amount of the mortgage loan remaining unpaid after the closing of a short sale). This is very important since it will allow borrowers to walk away after a short sale closing without having to worry about Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac pursuing them for the unpaid loan balance. Below are a few ways you can find out who owns your conventional or subprime loan (not every loan will be found):

• Mortgage Electronic Registration System (MERS®) Servicer Identification System - According to the MERS website, "MERS was created by the mortgage banking industry to streamline the mortgage process by using electronic commerce to eliminate paper. Our mission is to register every mortgage loan in the United States on the MERS® System. Beneficiaries of MERS include mortgage originators, servicers, warehouse lenders, wholesale lenders, retail lenders, document custodians, settlement agents, title companies, insurers, investors, county recorders and consumers. MERS acts as nominee in the county land records for the lender and servicer. Any loan registered on the MERS® System is inoculated against future assignments because MERS remains the nominal mortgagee no matter how many times servicing is traded. MERS as original mortgagee (MOM) is approved by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, FHA and VA, California and Utah Housing Finance Agencies, as well as all of the major Wall Street rating agencies. "
• Fannie Mae Loan Lookup - Collectively, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac own in excess of 50% of all the mortgage loans in the US so this is a good place to lookup your loan.
• Freddie Mac Loan Lookup - Collectively, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae own in excess of 50% of all the mortgage loans in the US so this is a good place to lookup your loan.

If you have an FHA (Federal Housing Administration) mortgage loan, a Tennessee Housing Development Agency (THDA) mortgage loan, or a USDA Rural Development loan then you will need to contact your loan servicer with questions regarding a loan modification, foreclosure prevention, or a short sale. If your loan servicer is not responsive, or not helpful then I recommend that you contact the Tennessee Housing Development Agency (THDA) or the USDA Rural Development Housing & Community Facilities Programs, whichever is applicable.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville and Middle Tennessee. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Credit Scores Getting Worse: Another Reason The Housing Market Will Decline Further and Then Stay Down

Credit Scores Getting Worse: Another Reason The Housing Market Will Decline Further and Then Stay Down

According to this article, Analysis: One-Third of Americans Highly Unlikely to Qualify for a Mortgage Today, 29.3% of Americans has a credit score under 620. This means that almost 1 in 3 Americans cannot qualify for a mortgage loan right now. This is yet another reason why the housing market will decline further: too many potential buyers are eliminated from the buyer pool due to poor credit. By the time this housing market decline is over the percentage of Americans with poor credit will likely increase to as much as 35% to 40%. In addition to that, nearly 50% of Americans will owe more than their home is worth (see SCARY STUFF: About half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011) and there is just no way buyers can come back into the market in a big way absent a substantial decline in home prices, which would allow new buyers into the market. Therefore, even when this housing market decline hits a bottom there will be no driver to push home prices back up resulting in more of a "thud and muddle" rather than a "V" recovery (also see: The Truth About Home Prices). As a result of this there are going to be a high level of foreclosures, short sales and other distress sales for the next several years.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

The Truth About Home Prices

The Truth About Home Prices
Median Single Family Home Price to Median Family Income Ratio Over Time (1/1989 to Present)

As you can see on the graph below, Median Single Family Home Price to Median Family Income Ratio Over Time (1/1989 to Present), the current Median Single Family Home Price to Median Family Income Ratio ("Ratio") is higher than at any point during the entire period evaluated except for the 2002-2008 housing bubble. The problem is that unemployment is higher that any time except for the prior few months. The question is : How can home prices, per the Ratio, be relatively higher than any non-bubble period when unemployment is extremely high and foreclosures are at record levels? The answer is: artificial government housing market propping. Once this market propping is over the organic (and true) housing market will become clear. That clarity will show that housing prices will decline as soon as this artificial government market propping ends see my previous blog post: Home Prices Headed Down.

In short, housing prices will continue to decline because current housing prices still do not reflect the current economic reality: the economy is poor, but housing prices remain "average". This simply does not make sense. This is not my opinion, but, rather, is proven by the facts. I analyzed the data in the NAR Home Affordability Index (HAI) from 1/1989 through 7/2010 and found that the Median of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income is 2.92 and the Average of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income is 3.07. Over this same period, the lowest reading occurred in 12/1990 at 2.654. Therefore, it is safe to say that from an historical perspective the typical price of a median home should be about 3 times the median family income. The 7/2010 reading was over 3 at 3.032 (i.e. over 4% higher than the historical median and about the same as the historical average). The problem is that we are not in a “typical” economic environment – we have record foreclosures that seem to persist and near 10% unemployment. Given that the lowest reading of 2.654 occurred in 12/1990 and that our current economic conditions are far worse than 12/1990, it is logical to conclude that the Median Home Price to Family Income Ratio should be below 2.654. If the ratio declines to 2.5, home prices will decline by over 21%. If the ratio declines to 2.5 and family incomes decline by just 5%, home prices will decline by nearly 28%. Given that personal incomes are declining and that a 2.5 ratio is probably a bit optimistic, I believe it is very feasible that home prices will decline by an additional 30%. As a result, there will be more short sales and foreclosures. See the graph below for a representation of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income Over Time and how it compares to the Average and Median of that same Ratio.



The graph shows that houses are still overpriced when compared to incomes. Keeping homes overpriced by artificially allowing more home buyers into the market and encouraging other home buyers to purchase more expensive homes (because of artificially cheap money) is completely irresponsible. Why should Americans be happy about being forced to overpay for homes (due to having to compete with home buyers who should not be home buyers, but only are do to the "government housing stimulus" described above) - that only leaves less money available for saving, investment, non-debt spending, etc. In short, it makes it harder and harder to get by on their current incomes. The American Dream is being killed by unnaturally high home prices, which are made possible by irresponsible government housing market propping. The government should just let home prices fall to where they should naturally be given the current economic situation (i.e. a lot lower than they are right now).

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Home Prices Headed Down

Home Prices Headed Down


The situation is really sad and infuriating at the same time. I think we can all agree that artificially cheap and easy money (i.e. excessive lending) is what got us into this housing bubble (really a debt/lending bubble) mess to begin with. Therefore, it is incredibly foolish and irresponsible that the federal government (and some states such as CA) is trying to "solve" the problem by artificially propping up demand for homes by pushing the banks to lend more, bailing out banks, guaranteeing the trillions (yes TRILLIONS) in losses that will ultimately come from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, artificially keeping interest rates low by buying over $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities in order to encourage more borrowing, expanding FHA lending dramatically, giving out $8,000 tax credits to first time home buyers, etc. Homes are still overpriced when compared to incomes (see my personal research below). Keeping homes overpriced by artificially allowing more home buyers into the market and encouraging other home buyers to purchase more expensive homes (because the "money is so cheap") is completely irresponsible. Why should Americans be happy about being forced to overpay for homes (due to having to compete with home buyers who should not be home buyers, but only are do to the "government housing stimulus" described above) - that only leaves less money available for saving, investment, non-debt spending, etc. In short, it makes it harder and harder to get by on their current incomes. The American Dream is being killed by excessively high home prices and our all knowing and caring government is causing this!. Let me say this clearly: YOU CANNOT SOLVE A PROBLEM CAUSED BY TOO MUCH DEBT BY TAKING ON MORE DEBT. It is impossible. Instead, the government should just let home prices fall to where they should naturally be given the current economic situation (i.e. a lot lower than they are right now). The housing market is headed down as soon as the foolish government market propping ends.

There is 0% chance that any market is actually "stabilizing" since that implies an actual free market. "Temporarily Artificially Propped" is a more accurate description of our current real estate market. See my blog post from November 2009 (I correctly detailed the current state of the real estate market and accurately predicted what would happen after the tax credit and other government market propping expired): Our Phony Real Estate Market. Also, see my personal research below.

There is no way that home prices have reached a bottom. I analyzed the data in the NAR Home Affordability Index (HAI) from 1/1989 through 6/2010 and found that the Median of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income is 2.92 and the Average of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income is 3.07. Over this same period, the lowest reading occurred in 12/1990 at 2.654. Therefore, it is safe to say that from an historical perspective the typical price of a median home should be about 3 times the median family income. The 6/2010 reading was over 3 at 3.045 (i.e. over 4% higher than the historical median and about the same as the historical average). The problem is that we are not in a “typical” economic environment – we have record foreclosures that seem to persist and 10% unemployment. Given that the lowest reading of 2.654 occurred in 12/1990 and that our current economic conditions are far worse than 12/1990, it is logical to conclude that the Median Home Price to Family Income Ratio should be below 2.654. If the ratio declines to 2.5, home prices will decline by nearly 22%. If the ratio declines to 2.5 and family incomes decline by 5%, home prices will decline by over 28%. Given that personal incomes are declining and that a 2.5 ratio is probably a bit optimistic, I believe it is very feasible that home prices will decline by an additional 30%. As a result, there will be more short sales and foreclosures. See the graph below for a representation of the Ratio of Median Home Price to Family Income Over Time and how it compares to the Average and Median of that same Ratio.




Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Homeowners Spending Their Mortgage Payments?

According to this Diana Olick article on CNBC.com, Mortgage Defaults May Be Driving Consumer Spending, recent studies show that "Americans are now far more likely to pay their other bills first before their mortgage (which is a big turnaround historically speaking)." As a result, the thought is that many of the nearly 7.4 million homeowners who are not paying their mortgage payments (defined as the total number of delinquent first mortgages plus REO properties - see the most recent mortgage performance data current as of March 31, 2010 in the LPS Mortgage Monitor: April 2010 Mortgage Performance Observations published by Lender Processing Services, a provider of mortgage processing services, settlement services, mortgage performance analytics and default solutions) may actually be spending money that would normally go toward making the monthly mortgage payment on consumer goods and services (i.e. food, clothing, car payments, medical expenses, entertainment, travel, etc.). The article mentions that Paul Jackson, publisher of Housingwire.com, wrote an article, For Consumers, Time to Shop (Until the Mortgage Drops), in which "he describes a case study of someone who applied for the government's Home Affordable Modification Program. The person had an $1,880.00 monthly mortgage payment on which they'd defaulted, but said person's monthly bank statement showed payments to a tanning salon, nail spa, liquor stores, DirecTV bill with premium charges, and $1,700.00 in retail purchases from The Gap, Old Navy, Home Depot, Sears, etc." Jackson goes on to say "Even if you assume that just half of the current 7.4 million currently delinquent mortgages fit this sort of ’spending profile’ (that is, they are spending their mortgage) and you assume a $1,000 median monthly mortgage payment for most U.S. homeowners — you get a $3.7 billion boost per month to consumer spending. It’s certainly enough spending to matter in the overall scheme of things." I find this truly scary, but I do believe that this is happening. In fact, I think this behavioral trend will become even more common as housing prices continue decline leaving more and more homeowners (I use that term loosely since until you have more equity than you have debt on your home the bank "owns" more of the home than you do) in position where they owe more than their homes are worth (i.e. underwater or negative equity). Frankly, I think this behavior is the result of a rather logical decision making process. If you were an underwater homeowner who owned a home and you had a choice between paying your mortgage (when you know you will never see that money again) and buying goods and services that you can enjoy now, what would you do? This is all a matter of economics and mathematics and in that vane paying for a declining asset (i.e. the home) makes no sense. As a result of this you can bet that foreclosures and short sales will continue to occur at high levels for the next several years.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Foreclosures Continue to Increase

Foreclosures Continue to Increase

According to this Diana Olick article on CNBC.com, Foreclosures Are Rising, foreclosures continue to increase (i.e. more properties are going to foreclosure auctions) due to the failure of the various loan modification programs (many borrowers do not end up qualifying for permanent modifications and many borrowers default on modifications even if they are granted) and the huge backlog of seriously delinquent loans (over 5 million), which are now making their way toward becoming foreclosures. Basically, foreclosures are going to remain extremely high for the next few years, and, as a result, seriously stress the banks' asset managers. Therefore, the banks are going to need to liquidate their excess non-performing assets via short sales.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Real Estate Investors, Home Builders and Developers in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee real estate investor, home builder, condo developer or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

Short Sales Will Increase

Short Sales Will Increase

According to this Diana Olick CNBC article, Let the Short Sales Begin, the Obama Administration's Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Plan (aka HAFA) (effective April 5, 2010), which is offering financial "incentives to borrowers, servicers, investors and second lien holders" to encourage short sales, plus the coming wave of foreclosures (shadow foreclosures, Option ARM and related foreclosures) will result in a substantial increase in the number of short sales. I absolutely agree. The question is whether the increase will be enough. The article goes on to state that the "Administration increased the incentives such as "doubling the amount of cash to $3000 offered as borrower "relocation expenses" and juicing the payoffs to the others as well. Of course they want to push short sales because of course they know that their modification program isn't working as planned." That is no surprise. Very few people I talk to are granted loan modifications and even the ones that are know that the loan modification it is a band-aid, not a solution.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Real Estate Investors, Home Builders and Developers in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee real estate investor, home builder, condo developer or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.